In Brief: major data releases of the week Wednesday, 11 March 2026 -US CPI: These are pre-Middle East conflict February figures so markets may look through them. The headline print is forecast at 0.2% m/m and 2.5% y/y, and the core at 0.3% m/m and 2.4% y/y. Goods prices may keep some upward pressure from tariffs, but softer shelter costs are expected to offset this. Friday, 13 March 2026 -UK GDP: January growth is expected at 0.3% m/m, two-tenths above the prior reading. Momentum has picked up since the November Budget and shaken off the subdued second half of last year. -US Core PCE: The Fed’s favoured inflation gauge is predicted to rise 0.3% m/m from 0.4% and unchanged at 2.9% y/y. The stronger than expected PPI data feeds into this report. The Middle East conflict will certainly overshadow but with little clarity on the short-term spike or longer-term persistent implications of the macro energy supply shock.